Polymarket bettors believe that during a potential second Trump presidency, Jan. 6 protestors are more likely to receive pardons than Ross Ulbricht, the Silk Road founder. Bettors assign an 86% chance of pardons for Jan. 6 defendants, compared to 78% for Ulbricht. Trump has previously described Jan. 6 protestors as patriots and has expressed support for commuting Ulbricht's life sentence, framing their cases as issues of government overreach and personal freedoms. While Trump has committed to pardoning Jan. 6 protestors, his stance on Ulbricht remains less definite, with his remarks lacking a firm promise. Ulbricht’s mother argues that his sentence is excessive compared to those of his associates. Additionally, bettors assign a 14% chance he may pardon himself and a 6% chance for Sam Bankman-Fried. The differences in these probabilities raise questions about the intentions and perception of justice regarding the cases of Ulbricht and the Jan. 6 attendees.

Source 🔗