Polymarket bettors are confident about a presidential pardon for Ross Ulbricht, the founder of Silk Road, believing there's a 99% chance it will occur within the first 100 days of Donald Trump's second administration. This speculation intensified following social media posts by notable figures like Elon Musk and Angela McArdle, chair of the Libertarian National Committee, who suggested a pardon was imminent. Trump had previously promised to commute Ulbricht's sentence during his campaign at the Libertarian National Convention, claiming Ulbricht's 2015 life sentence without parole for his role in the Silk Road marketplace was disproportionate. Additionally, Polymarket also lists Roger Ver, a prominent figure in the Bitcoin community, as a potential pardon candidate, but with only a 32% chance assigned. Interestingly, despite cryptocurrency being a significant part of Trump's campaign narrative, bettors seem less confident about immediate developments regarding the trading and legal status of digital assets in the first week of the new administration.

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