Bitcoin Miners Could Unload $5 Billion in Bitcoin Post-Halving
Crypto community braces for market turbulence as Bitcoin miners plan massive liquidation
Following the upcoming Bitcoin halving, an event expected to occur around April 20, a massive liquidation of up to $5 billion worth of Bitcoin by miners could stall any significant price increases until around October. This revelation comes from Markus Thielen, head of research at 10x Research, who forecasts that the cryptocurrency market might face a challenging period akin to previous cycles.
Post-halving dynamics typically see Bitcoin prices experiencing a sideways trend for several months as miners adjust to the reduced rewards by liquidating part of their holdings to maintain profitability. For instance, after the 2020 halving, Bitcoin prices oscillated between $9,000 and $11,500 for about five months. This pattern might repeat this year, potentially dampening the usual post-halving price rally until late in the year.
Moreover, miners, including the world's largest Bitcoin miner, Marathon, have been accumulating Bitcoin in anticipation of the halving. Marathon currently produces between 28 to 30 BTC per day, a figure that is expected to decrease post-halving. However, to avoid a sharp drop in revenue, Marathon plans to gradually sell off its accumulated inventory, adding to the downward pressure on Bitcoin prices.
The sale of accumulated Bitcoin could lead to a maximum of $104 million worth of BTC hitting the market daily, reversing the supply-demand dynamics that have previously driven up prices pre-halving. This strategic liquidation is not unique to Marathon, as other miners are anticipated to adopt a similar approach.
Additionally, the impact of this potential sell-off might extend beyond Bitcoin, with altcoins possibly facing even greater challenges. Despite some predictions of an altcoin rally post-halving, historical patterns suggest that any significant upward movement in altcoin prices could be delayed for almost six months post-event.
In light of these factors, the cryptocurrency market is bracing for a "summer lull," with significant price movements unlikely in the immediate aftermath of the Bitcoin halving. This forecast sets a cautious tone for investors, signaling a period of market consolidation and potential volatility.